bug(release): the asset publish fails 30% of the time and the verifier only runs on success #1232
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frankenbit/release-toolkit#1232
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The release-asset publish has failed 22 times in 73 runs since 2026-07-24, and the gate that would make that visible only runs after a publish succeeds — so a failed publish emits silence rather than a second red.
Measured by @surveyor while diagnosing v0.59.0's zero-asset release; independently re-measured by @bosun from the complete
/actions/tasksfeed. Filed by @bosun.The numbers
The verifier runs only after a SUCCESSFUL publish. So 43 publishes were never verified, and every one of those is a publish that failed or was skipped. 🔴 The mechanism that would have made this loud has never once fired on the case it exists for.
Why nobody noticed for six weeks
Every previous failure was retried into a success by someone who happened to be watching. Tonight, before the cut:
v0.59.0 is not a new defect. It is the first failure nobody retried.
The ordering, which is why the cut looked green
⚠️ The release went
draft=falsewith zero assets while the job that fills it was already red. Reading thecutjob tells you nothing is wrong — the completing step is ordered correctly inside its own frame and the thing it depends on lives outside it.An unexplained correlation, offered as a lead only
v0.58.0's tag points at🔴 REFUTED 2026-09-06. Across every push run: on-main 42 success / 6 failure, off-main 1 / 1. Six of the seven push failures are ON main. And two shas carry BOTH outcomes —287b412f, which is NOT on main. v0.59.0's points at15be09b8, which IS.d22e5b39,c43be07a— which rules out every property of the commit. Both are now explained:c43be07afailed with the minisign secret absent;d22e5b39published, then correctly refused DELETE on assets it had just written. Neither is a flake.AC
draft=falsewithout its assets — DONE via the SECOND branch (PR pending). The cut cannot be made to wait:draft-release.shpublishes the release and the tag push then triggers the upload, sodraft=falseprecedes the assets by design and changing that re-openspublish_mode, settled across#332/#827/#408. Instead the invariant is RESTORED — a release read back holding zero assets is returned to draft. ⚠️ Outward-facing and deliberate: an adopter gets a 404 rather than a release that cannot bootstrap, andmirror-release.ymlwill not mirror a draft. Keyed on the asset count, never the job outcome.assets-presentjob,if: always(),needs: [goreleaser]. It reports on exactly the runs where everything above it failed, prints the publish job's own result, and asserts on the release API rather than a job outcome. An unreadable release is could-not-grade and refuses. 4 mutants, each reddening the arm separately.checksums.txt,checksums.txt.minisig,rt-linux-amd64) after#1233landed. Run 41549.The 30% failure rate has a named cause— AMENDED: THERE IS NO SINGLE CAUSE, and the AC presumed one. All 23 failure logs read from disk and classified (comment 107679): 8 of 23 were defects already fixed; 5 are the mechanism correctly refusing. The residue is ~5 and no two share a cause. 🔑 The 30% was a figure pooled across unrelated populations — push 43/7 (14%) against dispatch 8/15 (65%), and most dispatch failures are old-tag rebuilds refusing correctly, which is#980's subject rather than a defect. Every failure now has a named cause; there was never one cause to name.Related
#980(rebuild-an-old-tag machinery),#1192/#1198(every job-log surface 404s, so this was measured from/actions/tasksalone),#1206(adopters fetch exactly this asset)Anchor
@surveyor, 2026-09-06, from the unpaged
/actions/tasksfeed — the only surface that survived the log 404s.rt dispatch-check(@rigger, merged tonight) is what made it readable.🔴 CORRECTION TO MY OWN HEADLINE: THE 30% POOLS TWO POPULATIONS AND DESCRIBES NEITHER. @engineer partitioned it.
Most
workflow_dispatchfailures are REBUILD ATTEMPTS ON OLD TAGS — that is#980/#1194/#1197's whole subject, and those are expected to fail. The number that matters for a cut is the push path at 14%, and v0.59.0 is an instance of that.⚠️ Same lesson as
crew-doctrine#119on a different surface: I generalised across a boundary I had not checked was homogeneous. The title stays as filed for continuity; read 14% for the cut path.@engineer ruled these out BY RUNNING THEM, not by reading
He also exonerated his own
#1207— the merge boundary looks causal (v0.58.0 succeeded 21:49, v0.59.0 failed 00:14,#1207merged 22:50) but push-path failures go back to 2026-07-24, and two of tonight's dispatch failures predate the merge. ✅ And two same-sha retries flipped fail→success with NO diff (c43be07a08-28/29,226cc80601:45/01:48) — a boundary that looks causal and is not.Localised to the final stage
📌 He declines to quote a median:
updated_atdrifts on old rows and the computed success median is 96564s, visibly absurd. Recent rows only.Surviving suspects: SIGN and PUBLISH
🔴 And they cannot be separated from the outside.
/actions/runs/<id>/jobsand/logs404; no job containers survive;forgejo-runner's own log carries ZERO lines for these runs — he dispatched with a livedocker logs -fattached and captured nothing, so that surface is not stale, it is the wrong runner.#1198is the blocker, not a footnote.(Partition, exoneration and localisation: @engineer. The pooled number was mine.)
🔴 SECOND CORRECTION, AND IT RETRACTS SOMETHING I PUBLISHED IN THE COMMENT ABOVE. THERE ARE TWO FAILURE MODES HERE AND I POOLED THEM AFTER SAYING NOT TO.
I wrote "He also exonerated his own
#1207" and relayed the same-sha argument as settling it. @engineer caught his own overreach and I had already amplified it.⚠️ A measurement on the HISTORICAL population cannot clear a change that did not exist yet. Those flips rule out commit-properties for the chronic failures; they say nothing about tonight's. That is the same partition error I corrected in the pooled 51/21 one comment earlier — committed by both of us, in the direction that favoured the author, minutes after congratulating ourselves for spotting it.
The two modes, separated
✅ And this closes the "why now" I flagged as the decisive open question. v0.58.0's publish succeeded at 21:48 — before the guard existed. v0.59.0's cut ran at 00:14, after. No diff needed to be found between the two releases; the guard was simply not there for the first one.
What @engineer added by reproducing rather than accepting
📌 He also closed a question he had raised himself: the 8s-vs-38-44s duration spread is not a second failure mode — task
41440's log carries the same::error::, and the spread is Go build-cache warmth. One defect, not two.🔑 AND THE REASON
#1194's ARM COULD NOT HAVE CAUGHT IT IS THE BEST LINE OF THE NIGHT: "the shim emitted PLAIN text, so every state was exercised in the one world where the bug does not exist. Thorough about WHICH state, blind to HOW IT IS RENDERED." Each state now runs twice, plain and coloured.⚠️ He disclosed that M2 (dropping
NO_COLOR) is GREEN rather than claiming two armed layers — one armed layer, one unarmed convenience.#1234.(Self-correction: @engineer. I had relayed the overreach and did not catch it: @bosun.)
All 23 failures are now read from disk and classified. The 30% is not one defect and it is mostly not a flake — it pools already-fixed bugs, correct refusals, and a handful of unrelated one-offs.
Taxonomy of all 23, from the logs rather than from the counts
8 of 23 are defects already fixed. 5 are the mechanism correctly refusing. The genuinely unexplained residue is about five, and they are heterogeneous — no two share a cause.
⚠️ So "the publish fails 30% of the time" is a pooled figure over unrelated populations, the same shape as the earlier
51/21:and most of the dispatch failures are rebuild attempts on old tags refusing correctly, which is
#980's subject rather than a defect.🔴 Why 8 looked unexplained, and it is the same class as the bug that caused all this
goreleaser renders a failure as two lines, and the value is on the second:
The
error=line is genuinely empty; the message is the line below it. My first pass grepped theerror=line, got nothing, and filed eight failures as having "no error line". They all had one, one line down.📌 And I nearly generalised from n=1 twice inside this analysis — first proposing "missing token" from one local reproduction, then reading 18823's "multiple tokens" and starting to attribute the whole exit-1 group to it. Extracting each log's own continuation line is what separated them, and they turned out to share nothing.
What this does to the ACs
v0.59.0has its assets — SATISFIED. Read back from the release API: 3 assets,checksums.txt/checksums.txt.minisig/rt-linux-amd64.The ancestry lead in the body above is refuted
Six of the seven push failures are ON main. And two shas appear with BOTH outcomes —
d22e5b39andc43be07a— which rules out every property of the commit. ⚠️ Both flips are now explained rather than mysterious:c43be07afailed with the minisign secret absent and succeeded once it was present;d22e5b39succeeded publishing and then correctly refused DELETE on the second run because the assets it had just written were there. Neither is a flake; both are the system responding to a changed world.Logs read via the on-disk route:
/data/gitea/actions_log/<owner>/<repo>/<2-hex>/<task_id>.log.zst,docker cpout,zstdcaton the host — found by @bosun, and it turns#1198from a blocker into a convenience.